Blindside how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics /
"Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed event...
محفوظ في:
| مؤلف مشترك: | |
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| مؤلفون آخرون: | |
| التنسيق: | الكتروني كتاب الكتروني |
| اللغة: | الإنجليزية |
| منشور في: |
Washington, D.C. :
Brookings Institution Press,
c2007.
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| الموضوعات: | |
| الوصول للمادة أونلاين: | An electronic book accessible through the World Wide Web; click to view |
| الوسوم: |
إضافة وسم
لا توجد وسوم, كن أول من يضع وسما على هذه التسجيلة!
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| الملخص: | "Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed events to surprise leaders and examines philosophies and methodologies of forecasting. Discusses low-probability, high-impact contingencies in various sectors"--Provided by publisher. |
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| وصف المادة: | "An American Interest Book." |
| وصف مادي: | vi, 198 p. |
| بيبلوغرافيا: | Includes bibliographical references (p. [173]-182) and index. |