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Blindside how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics /

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"Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed events to...

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Corporate Author: ebrary, Inc
Other Authors: Fukuyama, Francis
Format: Electronic eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : Brookings Institution Press, c2007.
Subjects:
Emergency management > United States.
International relations.
Electronic books.
Online Access:An electronic book accessible through the World Wide Web; click to view
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Summary:"Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed events to surprise leaders and examines philosophies and methodologies of forecasting. Discusses low-probability, high-impact contingencies in various sectors"--Provided by publisher.
Item Description:"An American Interest Book."
Physical Description:vi, 198 p.
Bibliography:Includes bibliographical references (p. [173]-182) and index.

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