Blindside how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics /
"Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed event...
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| Formato: | Recurso Eletrônico livro eletrônico |
| Idioma: | inglês |
| Publicado em: |
Washington, D.C. :
Brookings Institution Press,
c2007.
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| Assuntos: | |
| Acesso em linha: | An electronic book accessible through the World Wide Web; click to view |
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| Resumo: | "Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed events to surprise leaders and examines philosophies and methodologies of forecasting. Discusses low-probability, high-impact contingencies in various sectors"--Provided by publisher. |
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| Descrição do item: | "An American Interest Book." |
| Descrição Física: | vi, 198 p. |
| Bibliografia: | Includes bibliographical references (p. [173]-182) and index. |