Stalking the black swan research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility /
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| Autore principale: | |
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| Ente Autore: | |
| Natura: | Elettronico eBook |
| Lingua: | inglese |
| Pubblicazione: |
New York :
Columbia Business School Publishing,
c2010.
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| Soggetti: | |
| Accesso online: | An electronic book accessible through the World Wide Web; click to view |
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| 020 | |z 0231150482 (cloth : alk. paper) | ||
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| 082 | 0 | 4 | |a 332.63/2042 |2 22 |
| 100 | 1 | |a Posner, Kenneth A. | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Stalking the black swan |h [electronic resource] : |b research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility / |c Kenneth A. Posner. |
| 260 | |a New York : |b Columbia Business School Publishing, |c c2010. | ||
| 300 | |a xv, 267 p. : |b ill. | ||
| 504 | |a Includes bibliographical references and index. | ||
| 505 | 0 | |a Forecasting in extreme environments -- Thinking in probabilities -- The balance between overconfidence and underconfidence, and the special risk of complex modeling -- Fighting information overload with strategy -- Making decisions in real time: how to react to new information without falling victim to cognitive dissonance -- Mitigating information asymmetry -- Mapping from simple ideas to complex analysis -- The power and pitfalls of Monte Carlo modeling -- Judgment. | |
| 533 | |a Electronic reproduction. |b Palo Alto, Calif. : |c ebrary, |d 2013. |n Available via World Wide Web. |n Access may be limited to ebrary affiliated libraries. | ||
| 650 | 0 | |a Investment analysis. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Investments |x Forecasting. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Business cycles. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Recessions. | |
| 655 | 7 | |a Electronic books. |2 local | |
| 710 | 2 | |a ebrary, Inc. | |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u http://site.ebrary.com/lib/daystar/Doc?id=10419632 |z An electronic book accessible through the World Wide Web; click to view |
| 908 | |a 170314 | ||
| 942 | 0 | 0 | |c EB |
| 999 | |c 115302 |d 115302 | ||