Demystifying Climate Models A Users Guide to Earth System Models /

This book demystifies the models we use to simulate present and future climates, allowing readers to better understand how to use climate model results. In order to predict the future trajectory of the Earth’s climate, climate-system simulation models are necessary. When and how do we trust climate...

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書目詳細資料
Main Authors: Gettelman, Andrew (Author), Rood, Richard B. (Author)
企業作者: SpringerLink (Online service)
格式: 電子 電子書
語言:英语
出版: Berlin, Heidelberg : Springer Berlin Heidelberg : Imprint: Springer, 2016.
叢編:Earth Systems Data and Models, 2
主題:
在線閱讀:http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-48959-8
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實物特徵
總結:This book demystifies the models we use to simulate present and future climates, allowing readers to better understand how to use climate model results. In order to predict the future trajectory of the Earth’s climate, climate-system simulation models are necessary. When and how do we trust climate model predictions? The book offers a framework for answering this question. It provides readers with a basic primer on climate and climate change, and offers non-technical explanations for how climate models are constructed, why they are uncertain, and what level of confidence we should place in them. It presents current results and the key uncertainties concerning them. Uncertainty is not a weakness but understanding uncertainty is a strength and a key part of using any model, including climate models. Case studies of how climate model output has been used and how it might be used in the future are provided. The ultimate goal of this book is to promote a better understanding of the structure and uncertainties of climate models among users, including scientists, engineers and policymakers.
實物描述:XVII, 274 p. 62 illus., 58 illus. in color. online resource.
ISBN:9783662489598
ISSN:2364-5830 ;
DOI:10.1007/978-3-662-48959-8
訪問:Open Access