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Whither al-Anbar Province? five scenarios through 2011 /

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Hlavní autor: Bruce, James B.
Korporace: National Defense Research Institute (U.S.), ebrary, Inc
Další autoři: Martini, Jeffrey
Médium: Elektronický zdroj E-kniha
Jazyk:angličtina
Vydáno: Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2010.
Edice:Occasional paper (Rand Corporation) ; OP-278-MCIA.
Témata:
Social prediction > Iraq > Anbār (Province) > Case studies > Congresses.
Social change > Iraq > Anbār (Province) > Congresses.
Iraq War, 2003-2011 > Influence > Congresses.
Disengagement (Military science) > Congresses.
United States > Armed Forces > Congresses.
Anbār (Iraq : Province) > Politics and government > 21st century > Forecasting > Congresses.
Anbār (Iraq : Province) > Social conditions > 21st century > Forecasting > Congresses.
Anbār (Iraq : Province) > Economic conditions > 21st century > Forecasting > Congresses.
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Obsah:
  • Executive summary
  • What does the future hold for Iraq's al-Anbar Province?
  • How this study was conducted
  • Implications
  • Major takeaways
  • Study approach
  • Assumptions
  • Drivers
  • Scenario A: Sunni fight for survival
  • Scenario B: Every clan for itself
  • Scenario C: Iron fist
  • Scenario D: Glueless in Baghdad
  • Scenario E: Path to stability
  • The importance of drivers
  • Indications and warnings
  • Conclusions and implications.

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