Stalking the black swan research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility /
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Körperschaft: | |
| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
| Veröffentlicht: |
New York :
Columbia Business School Publishing,
c2010.
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | An electronic book accessible through the World Wide Web; click to view |
| Tags: |
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie das erste Tag hinzu!
|
Inhaltsangabe:
- Forecasting in extreme environments
- Thinking in probabilities
- The balance between overconfidence and underconfidence, and the special risk of complex modeling
- Fighting information overload with strategy
- Making decisions in real time: how to react to new information without falling victim to cognitive dissonance
- Mitigating information asymmetry
- Mapping from simple ideas to complex analysis
- The power and pitfalls of Monte Carlo modeling
- Judgment.