Stalking the black swan research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility /
Furkejuvvon:
| Váldodahkki: | |
|---|---|
| Searvvušdahkki: | |
| Materiálatiipa: | Elektrovnnalaš E-girji |
| Giella: | eaŋgalasgiella |
| Almmustuhtton: |
New York :
Columbia Business School Publishing,
c2010.
|
| Fáttát: | |
| Liŋkkat: | An electronic book accessible through the World Wide Web; click to view |
| Fáddágilkorat: |
Eai fáddágilkorat, Lasit vuosttaš fáddágilkora!
|
Sisdoallologahallan:
- Forecasting in extreme environments
- Thinking in probabilities
- The balance between overconfidence and underconfidence, and the special risk of complex modeling
- Fighting information overload with strategy
- Making decisions in real time: how to react to new information without falling victim to cognitive dissonance
- Mitigating information asymmetry
- Mapping from simple ideas to complex analysis
- The power and pitfalls of Monte Carlo modeling
- Judgment.