Stalking the black swan research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility /
Збережено в:
| Автор: | |
|---|---|
| Співавтор: | |
| Формат: | Електронний ресурс eКнига |
| Мова: | Англійська |
| Опубліковано: |
New York :
Columbia Business School Publishing,
c2010.
|
| Предмети: | |
| Онлайн доступ: | An electronic book accessible through the World Wide Web; click to view |
| Теги: |
Додати тег
Немає тегів, Будьте першим, хто поставить тег для цього запису!
|
Зміст:
- Forecasting in extreme environments
- Thinking in probabilities
- The balance between overconfidence and underconfidence, and the special risk of complex modeling
- Fighting information overload with strategy
- Making decisions in real time: how to react to new information without falling victim to cognitive dissonance
- Mitigating information asymmetry
- Mapping from simple ideas to complex analysis
- The power and pitfalls of Monte Carlo modeling
- Judgment.