Stalking the black swan research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility /
Sábháilte in:
| Príomhchruthaitheoir: | |
|---|---|
| Údar corparáideach: | |
| Formáid: | Leictreonach Ríomhleabhar |
| Teanga: | Béarla |
| Foilsithe / Cruthaithe: |
New York :
Columbia Business School Publishing,
c2010.
|
| Ábhair: | |
| Rochtain ar líne: | An electronic book accessible through the World Wide Web; click to view |
| Clibeanna: |
Cuir clib leis
Níl clibeanna ann, Bí ar an gcéad duine le clib a chur leis an taifead seo!
|
Clár na nÁbhar:
- Forecasting in extreme environments
- Thinking in probabilities
- The balance between overconfidence and underconfidence, and the special risk of complex modeling
- Fighting information overload with strategy
- Making decisions in real time: how to react to new information without falling victim to cognitive dissonance
- Mitigating information asymmetry
- Mapping from simple ideas to complex analysis
- The power and pitfalls of Monte Carlo modeling
- Judgment.