Stalking the black swan research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility /

Gorde:
Xehetasun bibliografikoak
Egile nagusia: Posner, Kenneth A.
Erakunde egilea: ebrary, Inc
Formatua: Baliabide elektronikoa eBook
Hizkuntza:ingelesa
Argitaratua: New York : Columbia Business School Publishing, c2010.
Gaiak:
Sarrera elektronikoa:An electronic book accessible through the World Wide Web; click to view
Etiketak: Etiketa erantsi
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Aurkibidea:
  • Forecasting in extreme environments
  • Thinking in probabilities
  • The balance between overconfidence and underconfidence, and the special risk of complex modeling
  • Fighting information overload with strategy
  • Making decisions in real time: how to react to new information without falling victim to cognitive dissonance
  • Mitigating information asymmetry
  • Mapping from simple ideas to complex analysis
  • The power and pitfalls of Monte Carlo modeling
  • Judgment.